How much will atmospheric carbon change in one year? In 10 years? and in 100 years?

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Question:

How much will atmospheric carbon change in one year? In 10 years? and in 100 years?

Answer:

It is not possible to put a figure as to how much the atmospheric carbon will change in one, 10, or even 100 years.

The change in the atmospheric carbon fluctuates based on certain factors:

  1. How much carbon is released to the atmosphere both by natural processes and human activities
  2. How much carbon is removed from the atmosphere based on both natural processes and human efforts.

It is not really possible to predict exactly how humans will behave or what natural processes will happen. Hence, it becomes really difficult to put a figure on how much the atmospheric carbon will change with time.

The global atmospheric carbon was 409.8 ± 0.1 PPM in 2019 and this figure represents an increase of 2.5 ± 0.1 PPM from the previous year. If the latter figure is anything to go by, it means that an increase of 2.5 ± 0.1 PPM happens annually. That would be an increase of 25 PPM in 10 years and 250 PPM in 100 years to come.

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